By Christian Takushi MA UZH Macro Economist – 28 Aug 2018 (delayed public release) French President Macron has stated this week that Europe needs to build her own financial and security framework in order to be independent from the USA. He confirmed the repeated calls by German Chancellor Merkel for…
By Christian Takushi MA UZH, Macro Economist & Geopolitical Strategist. 22 May 2018 – Switzerland (public partial release 8 days delayed: 30 may 2018) Over the past 72 hours the United States is reasserting its position as geopolitical superpower – it has sent strong signals in Asia, the Middle East and…
By Christian Takushi MA UZH, Macro Economist & Geopolitical Strategist, 19 Feb 2018 – Switzerland. (Public release delayed by 7 days) This is an update on the European geopolitical-political process. Of all things we are monitoring in Europe two important developments stand out over the past 10 days – and…
By Christian Takushi MA UZH, Macro Economist, 6 Feb 2018 – Switzerland. In a recent research report we concluded that the current US administration is being constrained by the upcoming US midterm elections in its foreign policy options – in particular versus Iran, North Korea and China. The US midterm elections are expected to be held on…
By Christian Takushi, Macro Economist & Geopolitical Strategist – 26 Jan 2018 – Switzerland. As convergence and acceleration dominate the global geopolitical landscape, many political analysts seem to be confounded since the beginning of December. The US Administration is pushing its agenda on the Middle East and US Economy with great…
By Christian Takushi, Macro Economist – Zurich & Geneva on 21 Dec 2016. As Germany is rocked by the worse terror attack in decades, this is a summary of long-term thoughts (this strategic editorial from Dec 2016 was updated in Dec 2017 and is relevant for years to come). For years we…
By Christian Takushi, Switzerland – 4 November 2016 Dear reader The 3-4 weeks leading to the US Elections are as expected a tense “radio silence”, with many decision makers in waiting mode. Nevertheless, some developments deserve our attention. Their timing and inter-connection call for close monitoring. Interestingly, some of these developments…
EDITORIAL: British people brave the threats. By Christian Takushi MA UZH, 30 June 2016 – Switzerland 1) Introduction As we warned in Fall 2015 and more recently on 7 Jan 2016 (editorial) and 17 June 2016 (outlook), political & financial experts grossly underestimated the risk of BREXIT (Britain exiting the EU)….
By Christian Takushi MA UZH, 3 Dec 2015, Switzerland. After recent events in Ankara, Moscow and Brussels we’ve updated our global outlook. Turkey may have shot down the Russian jet to contain the swift rapprochement between the EU and Russia after the Paris attacks. The gravity of the incident can…
by Christian Takushi MA UZH, 13-16 November 2015 – Switzerland. Despite the unprecedented terror attacks in Paris last Friday, Europe is still in denial of the collective failures and full scope of the threats. But, surprisingly the elevated Global Geopolitical Risk is receding over the past two months (see point…
