Ukraine Crisis & Oil allow U.S. to win over Iran, Russia’s key Middle East ally

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Ukraine Crisis & low Oil prices allow U.S. to win over Iran.

Christian Takushi connects Ukraine Crisis to U.S. reshaping the Middle East & winning over Iran, Russia’s strategic ally in the Middle East. This US move to help European allies (NATO and EU) centers on securing a back-up energy source for an unprepared and almost defense-less Europe: Iran Oil & Gas could supply EU & NATO. Based on his geopolitical-macroeconomic analysis, Takushi explains why Russia had to be neutralized and pinned down on her own doorsteps first and also why Iraq and Syria are such heavily contested battlegrounds for years. Iranian oil or gas are supposed to travel via Northern Iraq, Syria and Turkey before heading straight north to the major hubs being built in Romania.

Nevertheless the risky Obama Strategy legitimizes Teheran as it doesn’t demand that it revokes its repeated annihilation threats against Sunni Arab states and Israel. President Obama has downgraded the security and status of former key US allies Saudi Arabia, Egypt and Israel, forcing Arab nations to seek nuclear weapons to contain Iran -this after Israel declined Arab request to take out Iran’s military nuclear installations. Israel is caught in the middle.

Takushi predicts that despite Turkish and Iranian economies driving economic growth in the Middle East, the ongoing massive military build-up (fed by the USA, China, Russia, Turkey, Brazil etc) will lead to a major war in the Middle East. Takushi also foresees a landmark Peace Treaty with Israel over Jerusalem and the reconstruction of Israel’s ancient Temple. Israel’s ancient Temple built by King Salomon and destroyed first by Nebuchadnezzar and later several Roman legions will allow Shia and Sunni to unite in opposition once rebuilt. China, biggest beneficiary of West-Russia spat, to shake Middle East military balance. As tensions in the South China Sea and Middle East increase, the world may look at Russia’s Arctic Route as safer and shorter (by 34%) alternative for maritime shipping from Asia to Europe. These and other Geopolitical & Macro Trends are converging over 2015-2018 and will impact Economic and Investments Outlooks.

Takushi urges government & corporate leaders as well as investors to prepare for a series of unprecedented and significant events. Close monitoring is crucial as macroeconomic & geopolitical analysis is highly complex and subject to changes.

Source: current state of research at Geopolitical Economics AG, Christian Takushi MA UZH – 13 May 2015, Switzerland.

Disclaimer and Warning: The opinions expressed here reflect the personal view of Christian Takushi and the current stage of his Global Macroeconomic & Geopolitical Research. His analysis and views are completely independent. The view of our independent research contributors and experts in Christian’s global network was also taken into consideration. Readers should be aware that global macroeconomic and global geopolitical research are highly complex and subject to sudden changes and shocks, even more so the analysis of the link and interconnection between global geopolitics, economics and markets – as we do at Geopolitical Economics. Our view may change within 3 to 6 hours following an event of data release, and we will notify and advise our clients first. This website will only be updated a few days later!

Any Investment Strategy consideration is for institutional investors & corporate decision makers only. Other investors should NOT take any action based on our research without consulting a professional investment advisor first. They should heed the advise of professionals who can continually follow the markets for them and their portfolios. Overall this research should be considered as an additional independent perspective, and not as the sole basis for any important decision. No matter how realistic and correct our predictions may be, the same analysis could lead to very different conclusions and actions in different portfolios. That depends on portfolio structure, risk pattern, benchmark, reference currency, risk budget, personal background, tax profile, personal asset & liabilities and other factors.

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