Important notice on the role & value of external knowledge/intelligence ..
While our research effort is completely independent, we exchange information with other experts and value feedbacks in order to constantly improve our geopolitical assessment. We make part of our research public, so we can get feedbacks and test some of our assumptions.
The accuracy of our approach stems mainly from the unique way we connect our (1) own data analysis, (2) trend monitoring, (3) intelligence and (4) holistic analysis. Based on neoclassical* economic research & data analysis, we gain an edge through data transformations at macro and meta-levels. Just as we analyse data series only based on a macroeconomic theoretical rationale, we use intelligence gathering to confirm our own analytical conclusions (prioritised along causality, plausibility and induction), not to obtain “leads”.
We also avoid Conspiracy Theories, because these tend to discourage proactive comprehensive analysis and remove the necessary respect we should have for our political and business leaders. Conspiracy Theories can also jeopardise or undermine National Security. Although powerful individuals with evil intent exist, focusing too much on them is counterproductive, and overlooks the multiple global forces currently at work that dwarf any individual or group of individuals. Takushi has shown that sound geopolitical macro analysis was able to explain most strategic moves by nations since the end of the Cold War – As is evident by the useful predictions this broadened macro approach has yielded since 2011.
Takushi upholds respect for government leaders and keeps distance from those spreading hatred, mockery, slander and division. Takushi also acknowledges the right of every nation to pursue her geo-strategic interests with the means at her disposal, focusing on understanding their cultural mindset and religious beliefs. This balanced approach has allowed him to better predict the strategic moves by the USA, Russia, China, Japan, Germany, France, Britain, Australia, Israel .. as well as Iran, Turkey, Saudi Arabia, Brazil etc. in recent years.
Why don’t we rely that much on formal intelligence, news media, official data or insiders? There is more systematic disinformation than pure information out there. Too many Think Tanks and political analysts rely on their “close connection“ to some personality or insider, but many such people are increasingly the targets or source of disinformation. Independence is our cornerstone: Takushi researches independently of any government or institution that depends on government funding. Governments advance their interests via Think Tanks and Research Institutes. A vast amount of geopolitical analysis is done by persons that are financed one way or the other by governments, or have such a background. Finally, Takushi doesn’t emphasise owning knowledge or hiring knowledgeable people, he rather focuses on access to their knowledge without strings attached. Mutual respect for different views and professions keeps his global network alive and growing.
- note: neoclassical theory is conservative in essence, stringent in causality and does not indulge in modern-day experimental econometrics
We cannot list all those contributing to this research effort.
|Advisory Board (Leadership, Vision, Integrity):|
|Dominique Faessler||Former Swiss Top Executive of a leading Multinational Firm|
|Christian Takushi MA UZH Macro Economics||Macro Economist and Geopolitical Strategist|
|Markus Schiess Dipl. BÖ, M-Consulting AG||Management Consultant & Auditor|
|Agape Treuhand & Revisions AG||Administration & Buchhaltung|
|Sussi Takushi Rodriguez||IT Administrator & Projects|
|Rachel L. Takushi BA(Hons) UCE Int.Design||Design & Communications|
|Dr.jur. Markus Frick LL.M., Walder Wyss AG||Legal Adviser|
|Independent research contributors, thought-leaders and brainstormers: (list is not complete)|
|Patrick Hennig, Dipl. BWL||Top executive working in Emerging Markets|
|Thomas Härter, Dipl.Volkswirt, CEFA||Seasoned Investment Strategist & Macro Economist|
|Boris Papa, MA UZH, AZEK||Economist & consultant, econometric analyst|
|Jeff Petty, MBA||Investment banker and expert in the oil industry|
|David Schane MA Int. Relations, Dr.||International classical concert pianist, expert in finance & foreign relations|
|André Schneider ECOLINT||Seasoned multicultural business leader, expert in diplomacy & country risks|
|Ryushi Watanabe, BA in Policy Mgt||Investment banker & Asia expert|
|Raimondo del Balzo di Presenzano, CFA||Hedge Fund specialist, analyst|
|Gergana Yancheva, MBA||Financial analyst|
|Dimitris Lagopoulos, dipl. econ.||Economist & Investment Adviser|
|Note & disclaimer: The list above is not complete. The advisors and contributors shown here are independent and the views they share with us are their personal opinion only. Thanks to this knowledge-based research approach the independent personal perspective of every specialist adds value. We don’t try to change each other’s opinions, but rather to benefit from different & competing views and the multidisciplinary network. As a result these individuals may not necessarily agree with Christian’s final conclusions. Neither does Christian necessarily agree with their views or their articles. Christian is always taking into account inputs and feedbacks submitted by other specialists in different global networks. Inputs can flow in around the clock. They allow Christian to test his theorems and to continually improve the status of his analysis. Only part of that integrated knowledge is released on this website in certain time intervals. Web-based global collaborative knowledge across disciplines is changing the speed at which knowledge is accessed and improved. Continual exposure to criticism and feedback is therefore critical.|